BIGMARLEY3’S UFC ON ESPN+ 11 DRAFTKINGS FANTASY BREAKDOWN

This weekend, we have a 12-fight card at Sweden. It was a 13-fight card, but we just had Oezdemir/Latifi drop off, so be sure they are not in your lineups. DraftKings has some strong competitions for us to win a great deal of money from this week. The main GPP is a $15 buy and $25k belongs to 1st place with a total of $100k being paid out. They also have a new Qualifier only competition for $175,000. There will be 100 qualifiers for that competition and they will compete for a $50k first location cost and $175k will probably be distributed between all 100 entries that qualify. I will attempt to get my 3rd seat this week if at all possible. Those Qualifier only competitions can be actual bankroll suckers, so be cautious chasing those too hard. I’ll likely stick to the very best GPP this week and then throw a small number of entries at that $25k prize, and then I will take a few shots in the Q. I will also be publishing H2Hs as well as picking up H2Hs through the week to get a fantastic amount of drama into money games.
With that said, let’s get into a couple plays I like this week Together with my fade of the week:
Money Game play of this week — Alexander Gustafsson — $9,300
Gus is my most confident pick of the card this week and he’s also the biggest betting favored on the card. I think we could pile this main event in money games and utilize both Gus and Anthony Smith, but I am not positive if I’ll do this or not. I’ll for sure have Gustafsson within my money lineup though and he’s who I will be starting that lineup with. With 5-rounds to use I think he has the maximum ceiling on the card and I believe he gets a finish in this fight. Perhaps with numerous takedowns. He’ll be exceedingly popular in GPPs so in the event that you want to get away from him I believe that the tournaments are the spots for that. I will be locking him into my cash lineup though .
GPP play of the week — Tonya Evinger — $8,600
On DraftKings, I enjoy Evinger in her struggle and that I have zero interest in Lansberg. Evinger’s greatest path to victory is penalizing Lansberg on the ground and that scores highly if she can do that. I also believe she could find a finish. I believe she’s in play in most formats and I do think she has 100+ upside here and that is why she is my GPP drama of this week. There aren’t many UFC matchups I would say that for using Evinger at this stage in her career, but this one seems perfect for her. I believe she dominates this battle and ends it with floor in pound in around 2 or 1. If that’s the case, she should score well and win a person $25k.
Underdog play of the week — Devin Clark — $7,500
I feel pressured to play with Devin Clark this week since he’s only $7.5k but he is the present gaming favorite. I really like that type of value on DraftKings and that is what is forcing me to roll up him. We must include”underdogs” in our DK lineups and if we can really get a favorite, or possibly a roster with 6 favorites, then which helps our likelihood of hitting all 6 conflicts and taking down a GPP. Clark ought to be hot this week as well due to this value so I think he’s in play for a money game block and if you want, but in GPPs you will want to get him more than 33% of your lineups to get any leverage over the area.
Fade of the week — Duda Santana $8,600
Duda Santana is a simple fade for me . She’s $8.6k however she’s the underdog on the betting line. She’s also +365 to win ITD. If I’m paying that price on DK I need higher completing upside or someone who’ll be going for a great deal of takedowns. I don’t see her having much of a ceiling inside this fight even though she does win so I do not see her being on the $25k lineup. That is the reason I will be full disappearing Santana this week. If I was making 150 lineups then I’d include her in the combination, but I would need 50 lineups before I even considered using her.
Thank you for reading this and good luck this weekend! If you would like my full-card breakdown where I breakdown every struggle on the card and provide my complete DraftKings evaluation, in Addition to all my pick predictions, you’ll find that for just $7.99 at this link below:
(Premium bets are offered at that link too. I am 79-48 to get +256.49u (+$25,649) because May 19th, 2018 on Premium Plays)

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